No Money Down Property Investing in Australia

Posted on 1st November 2010 in Investment

No Money Down Property Investing in Australia

Here we have four strategies which are fantastic, especially if you currently own negatively geared property. These strategies are so easy to do yourself and here is an example of just how easy it is. There was a gentleman called Jeff. Now Jeff had bought three negatively geared properties from a seminar. These properties had been purchased off the plan and were located in a place called the Docklands in Melbourne. Jeff had become concerned because these properties were not worth what he had paid for them and as a result, he was loosing ,000 a month. We sat down, and went through some of the strategies which I am about to share with you, and he was able to turn these properties around from a ,000 loss a year to a ,000 a year profit. Wow.

The most common mistake

What 99% of people do when they go to sell a property quickly is that they discount the price. This is something which is not recommended. When you discount the price of your property, you’ll then find that your neighbour, who is also selling his house, discounts his price, then all the other people in your neighbourhood start discounting the prices on their properties and we end up with everyone fighting themselves down into a loosing market.

The solution
Rather than dropping the price of your property, one way you can increase interest in your property is to make it easier for what buyers there are in the market place to buy your property. You can also look at what things you can do to make it more enticing to buy your property as against your neighbour’s property. One way you can do this, is through creating ‘honeymoon periods’ on interest rates.

If a person is ordinarily looking to purchase your property they will most likely be spending anywhere from 7 to 7.5% on interest rates. What if a buyer could purchase your property and only have to pay 5 or 6% interest? Perhaps even 4% for the first six months? This is the same as what the banks do. They create ‘honeymoon periods’ or ‘honeymoon rates’ which means that the person who comes to buy your property will find it easier to move into your property today than someone else’s because they are moving in at a discounted interest rate.

It works this way: The seller can list the property with a real estate agent if that’s what they want to do, and when the agent sells it, the seller makes a concession to the buyer’s lender at settlement for whatever the amount was that you gave away in interest. So if you marketed the property at a 4% or 5% interest rate, then when the buyer goes to the bank to get his loan, the bank then needs to be compensated for that loss of interest. Despite this, you will find that when you transfer that discount over at settlement, the amount you are required to pay to compensate this lower interest rate will be considerably less than the amount you would need to discount the property by in order to sell it.

The Perks

This is becoming a more popular method to move properties quickly, as a lot of people realize that if they can buy your property now for 4% interest, then maybe they can also continue the payments on their car. They may even decide that by going into your property now, although it is only a low interest rate for only a short period, it gives them time to pay some other debts off, or they can spend the money they would have saved on some new furniture. Whatever they decide, it makes it easier for people to move into your property and the price does not become the issue. You will also find that if you charge the maximum retail price for your property and give people a subsidized interest rate to get into it, buyers would rather purchase your property than buy the property next door, where the guy has dropped the price by 30, 40 or 50 thousand dollars because, although your neighbour has dropped the price, it does not affect the buyers monthly payments by a whole lot.

A little less now, can mean a whole lot later

Delayed gratification will always give you a lot more money than it will to the people who want all the cash now. I was discussing this process with one of my students, John. John had a couple of houses and just completed a development. He needed to sell one of his properties as he was concerned that he was in a falling or a static market. If John was prepared to take delayed gratification, then he could get the price he wanted for his property. This meant that if John was prepared to not have all of the money now, rather get some in a week, some in six months and some in a couple of years, then in this way he was giving the market place a lot more flexibility on the payment and in return they would be willing to pay him a lot more for his property. John would also find that he would have a lot more buyers come through the door. This is your second strategy to create positive cashflow in a negative market.

Here’s the example: You go to sell your property and you give your buyers the option of paying you 80% now and 20% later on. The reason why this strategy works so well is because of the way that finance works at the moment. Today, people have to come up with 20% or, as is the case in inner Sydney, 30% of the loan as a deposit. This is where you can step in and say to your buyer “How about you give me the 70% or 80% now and make payments to me of the other 30%. By doing this you are putting the market place in a position where they have to bring very, very little money to the table to buy your property, because the lender will lend them the 70% to purchase your property and the 30%, which is the difficult bit, usually the deposit, is the money which you are prepared to take later. You will charge them an interest on this 30%, but you do not need to receive it right now, and you protect yourself with a second mortgage situation.

Essentially you transfer title and the buyer will pay you the 70 or 80% now and you would then collect the other 20% as an income stream over a short period of time, or a long period of time and balloon the balance in a year or two years if there is anything else outstanding. Another thing you can do is you can assign or sell those mortgages to cash yourself out. By using these processes you can sell that property for top price because you are making it easier for buyers to get into your property and you are prepared to take the money over a period of months rather than having it all today.

These first two strategies require the transfer of the title of the property and this can be good when you want to sell it through a real estate agent because these are very common ways of completing real estate transactions as they include a standard sales contract with a standard seller and a standard buyer and the real estate agent can relate to these methods very easily. Another strategy where you don’t transfer the title of your property and keep control of the property but can move it very quickly is one which you might of herd of, where you are using vendor finance through an installment contract.

It’s all about terms

Installment contract is the new terminology for what was always known as the “terms” contract. A terms contract is where you have an agreement where you transfer possession of the property to the buyer and they take an equitable interest in the property. There is still and exchange of contract but you, the seller, are retaining legal title, and in the normal sense, you would transfer over legal title once the full debt has been paid to you. So you would have a contract that says, once you have made these payments, then the legal title will transfer. The buyer can finalise the transaction by either paying you a payment of what they owe you for the property, minus any previous payments they have made to you, or they can go on to sell the property to someone else and pay you out. In another instance they can re-finance and pay you out.

A lot of the stuff that we do at my company, ‘We buy houses’ is sell a lot of properties where we says “You know what? You can make payments to me for 25 years if you want but after 12 months, two years or so, I need you to re-finance somewhere else. In this way, at least you can show me that you can make payments for the first couple of years, so we can then take this to the banks and this will make it much easier for you to re-finance into the banking system”.

Everybody wins

You will find that out of all of the people that want to buy properties, only 80% of people will be able to purchase a property the traditional way, so by offering your property on terms you are opening up to 100% of the market. You are also not just helping out home owners but you are able to sell to investors who have multiple houses and cannot get further finance the traditional way. Rick finds that a lot of his buyers are now investors as once they have bought three, four or five houses, the lenders will not lend them any more money to invest. These investors can come to you and buy properties because you don’t have any restrictions on how many properties people own. Your benefit is that you can charge the full price for you property, as long as you make it easy for these people to get in.

Perfect Timing

The fourth strategy is a strategy that is becoming increasingly common this year. This strategy is the Lease Option which then turns into the back to back Lease Option or Sandwich Option. The reason why Rick hasn’t really introduced this strategy until this year is because of the timing in the market. The best market for this type of option is where you have too many sellers and not enough buyers. When you have too many sellers and no buyers, price no longer becomes the issue, it more falls to the flexibility of the seller and the terms as to which he is prepared to sell his property.

A Lease Option, or a Rent to Own, works in this way. The seller can turn around to a potential buyer and say “OK, you want to rent this property, but wouldn’t it be better for you if you could also buy the property?” You will find that the reason why most people rent is because they haven’t had the opportunity given to them to purchase a property, so if you give them the option, they can rent, and at the same time they can be buying the property. Now for you as the seller, people who are renting with the option to buy will pay considerably more every month than they will if they are just renting. Also if they are renting with the option to buy, you will get a better quality tenant that moves in, and you will also have a tenant that is more respectful of your property because at the end of the day, he hopes it will be his property. Giving your tenant the option to purchase the property will also massively reduce any vacancy you have and because it’s so easy to do, you don’t have to worry about having real estate people do this for you.

Now there is another side to this. This is where you have a tenant who is in your property doing a Rent to Own and they then turn around and do a Rent to Own transaction themselves on the same property. This is where the Sandwich Lease Option comes in. Right now in this market place where prices are continuing to fall, it’s a really good strategy that when you buy a property, you don’t go and put all of your money into it. What you do, is you get a lease from the seller, with the right to buy it down the road. You might be finding right now that there are a lot of desperate sellers who are very open to the idea that if you can look after the payments they are making on the property then they are happy for you to rent the property and look after the payments and know that down the road, you will eventually buy the property for them. You agree upfront what price you will buy the property for. Then you can turn around, where there is someone who is happy to rent the property from you and buy it from you, and they are also prepared to pay more than you are already paying to the seller and purchase it at the end of a given period.

Imagine you had a property which you were buying from a seller for 0,000 and you agree that you will pay 0.00 a week which will cover the seller’s debt service. The seller bought this as an investment property and then he lost his job so he had taken all of the financing out of his own home in order to buy this investment property and now he has no one living in it. As you could imagine, the seller was having all kinds of problems meeting the debt service. You could come to an agreement that you would look after the debt service and you would also look after all of the rates, insurance, tax and bits and pieces that run at another a week. So you are taking care of this property at about 2 a week. You may be surprised how easy it is to find a family who is very happy to move in there on a rent to own for 5 a week, with the option to buy the house at the end for 2,000. You might be thinking now that there is not a lot of difference between the 0,00 which you are buying it for and the 2,000 you are selling it for, but there are a couple of things that you have in your favour. Firstly you pay no stamp duty to get into the property, there are very little legal expenses and you’ve written one cheque to the seller for 0.00 to put the deal in place. This one cheque of 0.00 has been your only investment to get into the house. So if you have only invested 0.00 and you have no bank loan, then you can be pretty happy with that. You also have ,000 that you will receive at the end, along with .00 you are receiving in positive cashflow every week and you also have the right to do that for the next 4 years.

The fundamentals

There are a couple of rules you need to understand if you want to get out of negatively geared property. Firstly you have got to make it easy for someone else to get into it, and this is where most people get it wrong. They continue to drop the price of their property. Dropping the price of your property does not make it easier for me to get into your property if I cannot get a bank loan or I have no deposit. So this is where you need to get creative and make it easy to get people into your property.

The other strategy which we spoke about is carrying back the deposit for people in the way of an Installment Contract, because if someone wants to buy your 0,000 property and require a 30% deposit, that means they need to have 0,000 cash, plus stamp duty and all those bits and pieces, and most people don’t have that much money lying in their bank. So if they can get their loan for 70% and you are able to carry back, a second mortgage for that 30% then they can make payments to you for that amount, and you can negotiate with them how much interest they will pay you for the 30%. You’ll also find that you have a house that you can market as 100% bank rates.

100% bank rates

Another process you can use is to advertise your house for 100% bank rates. This means that what the buyer does not borrow from the bank, they are borrowing from you at the exact same bank rate that they are paying at the bank. So if the bank is lending 70% of the loan to them at 7.12% then the 30% they haven’t got, they can borrow from you at 7.12%. The great part for them is that there are no other houses in the whole suburb that they can walk into and have no money. And yes, if you were wondering, they do need to have good credit but you do not have to assess that, because the lender that lends them the first bit, the 70 or 80%, are going to assess their credit. If the bank is prepared to lend them the 70%, and the banks are a little more thorough with their credit checks than you can be happy to lend them the 30%. You will find this a very good way to move your properties on, and you can turn your negatively geared properties into positively geared payments.

If you want to leave the real estate people out of it, you have the two other strategies we spoke about, with one being the Rent to Own, where tenants are given the option to purchase the property they are renting. You will find with your Rent to Own properties, that the extra bit that the tenants are willing to pay you is usually the difference between you being negatively geared or positively geared. That’s an important point to remember. You might be wondering now why people would pay up to an extra 50% of the normal market rent. Well you can offer the tenant that an amount out of the rent which they pay, you will contribute X percent or X dollars towards the purchase price when they buy the property.

You will find that just so long as people know that it is not lost money and, if they decide to buy, then a percentage of the money that they pay every week will go towards the purchase price of the property, they are happy to pay a higher rent. You can usually have a rough idea of what they are paying you every week or every month on this Rent to Buy, above the standard rentals, and that is the bit which you can offer back to them if they decide that, later on down the road, they want to purchase the property.

The next process is for Installment Contracts or Wrap around Mortgages. This is where you create a payment stream where people pay you money to get in. It can be ,000, ,000, or even ,000. Whatever money they can offer you as a deposit, and you might be surprised by the amount of cash that some people have lying around. The balance of what they don’t have, you get the solicitors put the paperwork system together so that they can make payments to you every month. You can even get all these payments collected by the real estate agents, so you don’t even do this part yourself. They make the payments on the underlying mortgage, they pay the water rates, the council rates, insurance. They pay absolutely everything and just send the positive cash flow to you when it is all done.

Qs and As

There are a lot of questions that come up about some of these strategies, how to put them together, and what they should consider. I would like to share a couple with you.

How much discount do I want?
You may often ask yourself, “How much discount do I want?” The answer is that you want what you can get. The other day, a house went at an auction for 0,000 where only one person bid; so that’s what the house went for. That house was pretty close to being worth 0,000. If it had of been an ordinary sale and someone had said “I’ll give it to you for 0,000″, wouldn’t you be happy to pay 0,000 and not get any discount. If it had been a 0,000 offer, you might try to get a ,000 discount. So how much discount you go to get on your houses or home unit is dependent upon what is being offered to you and how close it is to the right price. If you sell a property and you want to get out tomorrow, you would significantly reduce the price of the house, just to get out, so there really is no negotiating room in the price. You just need to research your neighbourhood or a particular suburb you are looking to buy in, and there is no fine line. There is no “Take of 20 or 30%”, because if the seller has already taken off a whole bunch and you are trying to get another 10% it is not necessary if you already have the deal. A lesson you will learn as you complete more of these deals is not to push too hard when you already had the deal. Once you have your formula and you have your deal, stop pushing. If your formula has allowed you to get the profit you need, stop. Sometimes you can keep pushing for another or and the whole thing falls apart and you are lying in bed at One O’clock in the morning thinking “Gee there was ,000 profit in there but I had to keep pushing for that last “.

How much money should I add to the price?
People often wonder how much money they should add to the selling price of one of their rent to own properties. “Should it be a percentage or how much extra should I charge?” The thing is that the market place will let you know. The market will determine what they are willing to pay you and how much you will get for the property. Here’s what we do know. If you make it easy for people to buy properties just like the government made it real easy when they introduced the ,000 first home owners grant, it brings a whole heap of people into the market and opens it up to almost everyone. You want to do the same sort of thing. If you make it easy for people to get into your property, they will pay you more for it, than the traditional way. Whenever you sell properties this way you can be sure that you can get more for them. How much more? That’s hard to determine. If you wondered what the rule was, I would tell you that whatever the retail price of the property is, you can always go another 5%, well somewhere between 5% and 10% above the market value. It’s really just about putting your sign out the front and seeing how you go. The market place will let you know how much you can sell your property for. You don’t get to decide how much you want to sell your property for. The market place decides.

What do I negotiate?
People also ask what to negotiate when you purchase a property. If you go to buy a property and you can’t speak directly to the seller, you ask the agent, “Would the seller like to sell his house today? Or would he rather sell it in another six months?” “No he wants to sell it today” they say. “Well I’m here with my cheque book ready to buy a house today. Which one of your sellers would like to sell their house today?” In the old days agents didn’t like to bring the vendors in to see buyers and that was fine, but the market has changed now, and we are finding that vendors are so keen to get out of these properties because they more often than not have had they’re property for months, just sitting there unsold. You might also find that so much of the negotiations are not about the price, but the terms on which you buy it. Now with any vendor you could argue all day long to get a discount from 0,000 to 0,000 or 0,000, but if the vendors are going to go and live over seas for five years, then you can propose that they create you a 30 year mortgage and you can make the payments to them for five years and pay the balance at the end of that five year period. Now, if you are paying no interest and 100% of your payments are directly going towards the principal amount, then the amount you will save in interest is much, much more than if you were to get a ,000 or even ,000 discount. These are the type of things you couldn’t do in a hot market.

Rent to Owns are also very easy to negotiate these days. You can just go to the seller and say “Hey I don’t really have my finances in shape, how about you rent me the property for the next three years and I’ll give you the price you need at the end” Then you just need to work out the rent. Sometimes it’ll be equal to what the sellers payments are, sometimes it will be the standard market rent plus 20%, it doesn’t really matter what the amount is, because you are going to then put up a sign which says “Rent to Own”, where you will set up this transaction with someone else and collect a rent which is more than the rent you are paying to the seller. This transaction is all about controlling properties without owning them.

What ever happened to Jeff?

How did Jeff turn those properties around? Jeff ran some ads in the paper while he was in Sydney for his properties in Melbourne. So, Jeff ran some ads, people went to see his houses in Melbourne and he got a phone call the next day from someone who had a deposit but couldn’t qualify for a bank loan because they had had some issues with credit in the past. He was happy to pay the asking price for Jeff’s property as against having no property at all. And the best part? Jeff was able to do this all himself without having to fly back and forth to Melbourne to complete the deal.

So if you have a negatively geared property, you don’t need to drop the price and cut your losses. You can use these strategies to turn your negatively geared properties into positively geared payments. You can get creative and at the same time open your property up to 100% of the market. Hopefully you can take this information and start to make some serious cash and if you have any other questions or you want some more information on some of these strategies, you can log onto my website at www.rickotton.com where you can sign up for one a seminar or send me an email.

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Can You Really Purchase Off Plan Property For Up To 70% Below Market Value?

Posted on 27th October 2010 in Investment

Can You Really Purchase Off Plan Property For Up To 70% Below Market Value?

You know how the saying goes “if it’s too good to be true, then it most likely is”?  Well in most cases that is correct, however many property developers who put these “two good to be true” concepts together are making investors a fortune if taken advantage of.  How?  Because the developers are simply selling their off plan property far below current market value.

Before going any further, it’s important to know what off plan property even is.  Off plan property is a property that is either currently under construction or has not begun construction yet.  At some point or another, every single property in the world went through its off plan phase.  When a developer decides to build in a certain area, he or she first needs to obtain planning (building) permission from the state or government before allowed to begin construction.  The developer can still buy the land and hold on to it while planning permission is pending, and in some countries the developer can even start pre-selling units before planning permission is even granted.  This is of course very risky to the investor as permission has not been granted but is done quite often.  Because the risk is far greater before planning permission is granted, the developer decides to incentive property investors with a discount that rewards them for taking on such risk.  Often times, the developer will state in the contract that if for any reason planning permission is not granted that the investor will receive a full refund plus a certain percentage of interest for tying up their capital.  (Don’t ever invest in to an off plan property unless this is clearly stated in the contract between you and the developer).

So let’s consider the fact that you, the investor were looking for a heavy discount in the market and decided to contact developers or investment firms that were recommending off plan property as an investment.  Take the price of a one bedroom apartment for example in North West London that costs on average £204,000.  If you were to purchase this apartment at market value, you are not leaving yourself with very much upside potential, unless of course you wanted to wait for the markets to appreciate over the next 7-10 years to see a sizable return.  To most aggressive investors, this is NOT an exciting investment strategy.  So you decide to look at off plan property as an option and you are told of a property that is currently being sold for only £170,000, but has not yet begun construction.  How can this be?  This is a 20% instant savings on a 1 bedroom unit very similar to the completed properties you have been looking at.  Because the developer is still obtaining planning permission, but is very confident that they will be granted rights, they decide to start selling units at a very heavy discount.  Remember, at this time the developer and his team have everything in place including renderings of the development, but are just waiting for the planning committee to give them the green light.  With a completion date set for two years out, you only need to put down 30% and nothing further due until the property is finished.  Depending on the location, a mortgage is not required until the property is built which gives you more time to build up your savings and borrow even less when it comes time to apply for a mortgage.  In many cases, by the time the property is complete, you may not even need to apply for a mortgage because you have saved enough funds to go ahead without it.  So with a property price of £170,000 and only 30% needed to lock in this transaction, you only need to come up with £51,000.  And it’s get better…

Once planning permission is approved, the investment case dramatically changes because now the property is guaranteed to be built.  This gives the developers the confidence to ask for more money on each unit.  It also gives the banks the confidence they need to finance the development in line with the developers needs.    Immediately the developers raise the prices on each one bedroom unit to £185,000 giving you an instant unrealized gain of 8.8% in just a matter of months.  Typically at this time, there is a rush of investors to get in on this new build, and if there’s enough hype you may even be able to sell your property to the next investor which would give you a profit of £15,000 or a 29% realized capital gain on your initial 30% deposit.  Because you only invested £51,000 and your take home is £66,000, you genuinely are able to see big returns in a very short period of time.

Now let’s imagine that you decided to hold on to your property or there wasn’t enough hype in the market for you to be able to sell just yet.  You now wait until the second phase in the property investment which typically occurs when the developers break ground.  At this time, you can expect the prices to go up again, but not by as much as they will when the property is completed.  On average you may expect the price of the property to rise roughly 5-10 percent and in some cases maybe 15%.  Let’s be ultra conservative in this case and say that the property only went up another 5%.  The value of your property is now worth £194,250 and the developers begin to list the investment at this price therefore giving you another opportunity to make even a bigger gain on your 30% deposit.  If at this time you were able to sell your property you would now be taking home £24,250 which increases your gross capital gain on cash employed to 47.55% in just one year.

Finally when construction is complete, the developers officially launch the development to the public and sell each unit at market value.  By this time, you have two options.  One, take out a mortgage and continue to wait for the property to appreciate to a price that you would be happy with.  Two, sell the property to a new investor that is happy to purchase this completed property at market value which in this case is £204,000.  Let’s say that everything worked out perfectly and you were able to sell the property immediately before applying for a mortgage.  You would now be taking home £34,000 (£204,000 – £170,000) giving you a realized capital gain of 66.67% increase in just two years.

This aggressive property strategy is known to many savvy investors as “flipping” and must be done in line with your financial situation.  If you cannot afford to hold on to the property when it comes time to apply for a mortgage, then you should not enter this strategy with the intentions of flipping it before completion.  You may get caught out not being able to sell which then forces you to take out a mortgage, therefore generating a massive burden on your financial situation if the mortgage payments are not in line with your financial budget.  On the other hand, for investors looking for “a quick buck” (or pound in this case) can absolutely do so through the use of off plan property.  It doesn’t always work out this way of course and more times often then others will you need to hang on to your property for a little bit longer then you originally planned, but if your financial situation permits it and your financial advisor highly recommends the investment, then go for it!  It’s OK to take on little bit of risk every once and a while in order to see the potential big rewards.

So now that you understand how the strategy works, how do you know which off plan property to select?  You should always speak to an investment advisor regarding the purchase of off plan property.  Real estate agents aren’t qualified to give you the investment advice needed, and if you want the real story its best you speak to a financial advisory firm.  One firm in particular that has been recommending off plan property to its investors for many years is Elite Global Property based in Shanghai, China.  Before every recommending this strategy to their investors, they gain a comprehensive understanding of your financial situation before deciding whether or not this strategy is for you.  All of their off plan recommendations are accompanied with an investment guide on both the property itself, but more importantly the area in which the property is located.

So, can you really purchase off plan property for up to 70% below market value?  Absolutely, and savvy investors do it all the time.  How do you think they become so wealthy?  It’s definitely not by purchasing property at market value.  There are always good deals out there and desperate developers who are willing to sell their units to you far below market value in the beginning stages of construction.

You know how the saying goes “if it’s too good to be true, then it most likely is”?  Well in most cases that is correct, however many property developers who put these “two good to be true” concepts together are making investors a fortune if taken advantage of.  How?  Because the developers are simply selling their off plan property far below current market value.

Before going any further, it’s important to know what off plan property even is.  Off plan property is a property that is either currently under construction or has not begun construction yet.  At some point or another, every single property in the world went through its off plan phase.  When a developer decides to build in a certain area, he or she first needs to obtain planning (building) permission from the state or government before allowed to begin construction.  The developer can still buy the land and hold on to it while planning permission is pending, and in some countries the developer can even start pre-selling units before planning permission is even granted.  This is of course very risky to the investor as permission has not been granted but is done quite often.  Because the risk is far greater before planning permission is granted, the developer decides to incentive property investors with a discount that rewards them for taking on such risk.  Often times, the developer will state in the contract that if for any reason planning permission is not granted that the investor will receive a full refund plus a certain percentage of interest for tying up their capital.  (Don’t ever invest in to an off plan property unless this is clearly stated in the contract between you and the developer).

So let’s consider the fact that you, the investor were looking for a heavy discount in the market and decided to contact developers or investment firms that were recommending off plan property as an investment.  Take the price of a one bedroom apartment for example in North West London that costs on average £204,000.  If you were to purchase this apartment at market value, you are not leaving yourself with very much upside potential, unless of course you wanted to wait for the markets to appreciate over the next 7-10 years to see a sizable return.  To most aggressive investors, this is NOT an exciting investment strategy.  So you decide to look at off plan property as an option and you are told of a property that is currently being sold for only £170,000, but has not yet begun construction.  How can this be?  This is a 20% instant savings on a 1 bedroom unit very similar to the completed properties you have been looking at.  Because the developer is still obtaining planning permission, but is very confident that they will be granted rights, they decide to start selling units at a very heavy discount.  Remember, at this time the developer and his team have everything in place including renderings of the development, but are just waiting for the planning committee to give them the green light.  With a completion date set for two years out, you only need to put down 30% and nothing further due until the property is finished.  Depending on the location, a mortgage is not required until the property is built which gives you more time to build up your savings and borrow even less when it comes time to apply for a mortgage.  In many cases, by the time the property is complete, you may not even need to apply for a mortgage because you have saved enough funds to go ahead without it.  So with a property price of £170,000 and only 30% needed to lock in this transaction, you only need to come up with £51,000.  And it’s get better…

Once planning permission is approved, the investment case dramatically changes because now the property is guaranteed to be built.  This gives the developers the confidence to ask for more money on each unit.  It also gives the banks the confidence they need to finance the development in line with the developers needs.    Immediately the developers raise the prices on each one bedroom unit to £185,000 giving you an instant unrealized gain of 8.8% in just a matter of months.  Typically at this time, there is a rush of investors to get in on this new build, and if there’s enough hype you may even be able to sell your property to the next investor which would give you a profit of £15,000 or a 29% realized capital gain on your initial 30% deposit.  Because you only invested £51,000 and your take home is £66,000, you genuinely are able to see big returns in a very short period of time.

Now let’s imagine that you decided to hold on to your property or there wasn’t enough hype in the market for you to be able to sell just yet.  You now wait until the second phase in the property investment which typically occurs when the developers break ground.  At this time, you can expect the prices to go up again, but not by as much as they will when the property is completed.  On average you may expect the price of the property to rise roughly 5-10 percent and in some cases maybe 15%.  Let’s be ultra conservative in this case and say that the property only went up another 5%.  The value of your property is now worth £194,250 and the developers begin to list the investment at this price therefore giving you another opportunity to make even a bigger gain on your 30% deposit.  If at this time you were able to sell your property you would now be taking home £24,250 which increases your gross capital gain on cash employed to 47.55% in just one year.

Finally when construction is complete, the developers officially launch the development to the public and sell each unit at market value.  By this time, you have two options.  One, take out a mortgage and continue to wait for the property to appreciate to a price that you would be happy with.  Two, sell the property to a new investor that is happy to purchase this completed property at market value which in this case is £204,000.  Let’s say that everything worked out perfectly and you were able to sell the property immediately before applying for a mortgage.  You would now be taking home £34,000 (£204,000 – £170,000) giving you a realized capital gain of 66.67% increase in just two years.

This aggressive property strategy is known to many savvy investors as “flipping” and must be done in line with your financial situation.  If you cannot afford to hold on to the property when it comes time to apply for a mortgage, then you should not enter this strategy with the intentions of flipping it before completion.  You may get caught out not being able to sell which then forces you to take out a mortgage, therefore generating a massive burden on your financial situation if the mortgage payments are not in line with your financial budget.  On the other hand, for investors looking for “a quick buck” (or pound in this case) can absolutely do so through the use of off plan property.  It doesn’t always work out this way of course and more times often then others will you need to hang on to your property for a little bit longer then you originally planned, but if your financial situation permits it and your financial advisor highly recommends the investment, then go for it!  It’s OK to take on little bit of risk every once and a while in order to see the potential big rewards.

So now that you understand how the strategy works, how do you know which off plan property to select?  You should always speak to an investment advisor regarding the purchase of off plan property.  Real estate agents aren’t qualified to give you the investment advice needed, and if you want the real story its best you speak to a financial advisory firm.  One firm in particular that has been recommending off plan property to its investors for many years is Elite Global Property based in Shanghai, China.  Before every recommending this strategy to their investors, they gain a comprehensive understanding of your financial situation before deciding whether or not this strategy is for you.  All of their off plan recommendations are accompanied with an investment guide on both the property itself, but more importantly the area in which the property is located.

So, can you really purchase off plan property for up to 70% below market value?  Absolutely, and savvy investors do it all the time.  How do you think they become so wealthy?  It’s definitely not by purchasing property at market value.  There are always good deals out there and desperate developers who are willing to sell their units to you far below market value in the beginning stages of construction.

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Texas Business Personal Property Rendition And Taxation

Posted on 22nd October 2010 in Investment

Texas Business Personal Property Rendition And Taxation

The Texas Property Tax Code for many years had required owners of business personal property (BPP) to annually render those assets used in a business. Rendering is summarizing to the central appraisal district the ownership and value of the assets. Historically, however, over half of all owners of business personal property have not rendered.

The Texas law was unusual in that while rendition was mandatory, there was no penalty for not rendering. Therefore, many property owners did not render because it was not material, was not convenient or would dramatically increase their tax liability. For many small business owners, the value of the personal property and the associated property taxes are modest and not a material issue for the business.

Chief appraisers at central appraisal districts and tax entities have long been concerned that a material amount of business personal property is not being taxed. There is a reasonable concern that if business personal property owners are not being taxed equitably with real property owners, the burden of taxation is shifted from owners of personal property to owners of real property.

Impetus for Change

Several factors combined to make business personal property rendition a hot topic. In Robinson vs. Budget Rent-a-Car Systems, a 2001 appeals court decision, the court clarified that the chief appraiser may sue to force a business personal property owner to render BPP. In addition to the objective of chief appraisers to equitably spread the burden of property taxation, fiscal shortfalls at many city, county and school entities as well as at the state level have raised the government’s need to ensure it is receiving all due revenue based on current tax laws.

Although Robinson vs. Budget allowed chief appraisers to sue property owners who did not render, this was a largely unsatisfactory remedy due to the financial costs and political stigma of chief appraisers suing large numbers of taxpayers. The other possible solution was for chief appraisers to “guess high” on assessed values in order to effectively force business personal property owners to provide information. Fortunately, few chief appraisers have chosen this option.

Summary of the New Law

During the summer of 2003, the Texas legislature put some teeth into the rendition law by passing Texas Senate Bill 340. Starting in 2004, a company that does not render will automatically pay a 10% penalty on its business personal property tax bill. This penalty will be collected by the chief appraiser, although there are options to appeal the penalty. There is also a 50% penalty for filing a fraudulent rendition. In addition, filing a fraudulent rendition is a criminal offense.

Rendition Requirements

Owners of business personal property with an aggregate value of less than ,000 can file a simplified rendition statement containing only: 1) the property owner’s name and address; 2) a general description of the property by type or category; and 3) the location of the property. Owners of business personal property worth more than ,000 must file a rendition with: 1) the owner’s name and address; 2) a description of the property for inventory; 3) a description of each type of inventory; 4) a general estimate of the quantity of each type; 5) the property’s physical location; and 6) either the owner’s good faith estimate of the property’s market value or the property’s historical cost new and its year of acquisition.

If the owner simply provides a good faith estimate of the property’s market value the appraisal district may request a statement of supporting information indicating how the property owner determined the value rendered. This detailed statement must be delivered within 21 days after the date the property owner receives the request.

Rendition Deadlines

The rendition addresses business personal property as of January 1st of the tax year and may be filed annually between January 1st and April 15th. There is an automatic extension of the filing deadline until May 15th upon written request. The chief appraiser may extend the filing deadline for an additional 15 days (until May 30), if the property owner files a written request showing good cause.

Amnesty Provision

With the new legislation the Texas Property Tax Code also offers property owners a special rendering provision for the 2003 tax year. If owners render BPP before December 1, 2003 the appraisal district may revalue the property for tax year 2003. Revaluation is likely to occur if there was no previous account for the property or if the rendered value greatly exceeds the current assessed value.

However, exercising the special rendering, or amnesty, provision in 2003 allows the property owner to avoid omitted property taxes for the two prior years. When business personal property not already on the tax rolls is discovered, the Texas Property Tax Code requires it be assessed at the market value for the two prior years. For example, if business personal property were discovered in 2003, the appraisal district would also typically assess the property for 2001 and 2002. By rendering during the established amnesty window, September 1, 2003 through November 30, 2003, the property owner avoids the exposure of paying property taxes for prior years.

What is Business Personal Property?

The Texas Property Tax Code 1.04 (5) defines tangible personal property as property that can be seen, weighed, measured, felt, or otherwise perceived by the senses, but does not include a document or other perceptible object that constitutes evidence of a valuable interest, claim, or right and has no negligible or intrinsic value. Examples of tangible personal property, or business personal property, include equipment, furniture, computers, and inventory. Business personal property would not include accounts receivable, stocks, bonds, notes, franchise agreements, licenses, permits, certificates of deposit, insurance policies, pensions, contracts and goodwill.

Market Value Definition

Market value is defined in the Texas Property Tax Code 1.04 (7) as the price at which a property would transfer for cash or its equivalent under prevailing market conditions if: a) exposed for sale in the open market with a reasonable time for the seller to find a purchaser; b) both the seller and the purchaser know all of the uses and purposes to which the property is adapted and for which it is capable of being used and the enforceable restrictions on its use; and c) both the seller and purchaser seek to maximize their gains and neither is in a position to take advantage of the exigencies of the other.

Market Value vs. Book Value

Market value may be less than or more than book value. For example, the value of a 3-month-old computer may be one-half of the initial acquisition price. The book value based on IRS tax per IRS depreciation schedule would be 95% of cost based on a 60-month depreciation schedule. Other examples of items whose market value may decline sharply after being placed in service include cars, linens and bedding at motels, phone systems, copiers, and furniture.

Other Valuation Issues

Inventory shall be valued at the price for which it will sell as a unit to a purchaser who would continue the business. Due to issues such as pilferage, obsolescence, and damage, the market value of inventory may be less than the book value of the inventory. The assessed value of the furniture, computers, and equipment should be the price for which it could be sold.

Issues for Appraisal Districts

Although appraisal districts lobbied aggressively to insure this bill passed, it poses many challenges and issues for appraisal districts. The first challenge is how to process a large number of renditions. Then, the appraisal districts will have to decide whether to aggressively request additional information if the owner gives market value instead of providing a fixed asset listing (property description, year of acquisition, and acquisition cost). The appraisal districts will also have to decide how much consideration to give the owner’s estimate of market value, particularly if it is sharply below the appraisal district’s assessed value.

At least one chief appraiser believes the new rendition requirements may delay certification since appraisal districts must wait to receive the renditions before mailing notices of assessed value. The higher level of renditions will impose additional challenges for appraisal district staff in up-front processing and will likely require additional protest hearings. Appraisal districts are generally leanly staffed and will have to be creative and effective to handle a likely meaningful increase in business personal property renditions and appeals.

Practical Considerations for Property Owners

One nettlesome issue for owners of small amounts of business personal property is whether the penalty for not rendering is incentive enough to render. Consider the following example: Bob owns a small business and has business personal property reasonably worth ,000. It is assessed for ,000. The annual personal property taxes, based on a 3% tax rate, are 0. The penalty for not rendering is . Should Bob make sending the rendition form to the appraisal district a priority above working with his customers, seeking new customers, and working with his staff?

Owners of business personal property who either are not on the tax rolls or whose property is grossly under-assessed will have to decide whether to render. It is clear that the law requires owners to render and there is now a 10% penalty if you do not render; the amnesty provision provides a modest incentive to render. Consider the following example: Charlie owns a wholesale distribution business with 5,000 in inventory and ,000 in furniture and equipment. However, Charlie’s current BPP assessment is 0,000 and annual taxes are ,000. If he does not render he will likely pay annual taxes of ,000 and a 10% penalty for a total of ,300. If Charlie does render, his business personal property taxes will increase to ,000 per year. It is clear that owners of business personal property are required to render and that there will be a 10% penalty for not rendering starting in 2004. Whether owners render will depend partly on their records, risk tolerance, and corporate culture.

Conclusion

The new business personal property rendition requirements will sharply increase compliance with rendition laws over the next three to five years. Many small business personal property account owners will probably not address the issue until receiving a 2004 tax bill with a 10% penalty for failing to render. It is unclear how many large accounts are either not on the tax roll or are substantially undervalued. It is clear there are some, but from a practical perspective this writer has not seen or heard of many such cases.

The benefits of the law are that it will make taxation more equitable between business personal property and real property. It will also make business personal property taxes more equitable between those who do and do not render. Less attractive features of the new rendition requirements are an increase in tax revenue and an increase in paperwork for businesses.

Reduce your property tax by contacting Oconnor & associates. Oconnor & associates can represent you at the Williamson central appraisal district.

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Real Estate Business, Properties Sale, India Property, Indian Properties, Commercial Property, Residential Property, Property Requirements, Property N

Posted on 20th October 2010 in Investment

Real Estate Business, Properties Sale, India Property, Indian Properties, Commercial Property, Residential Property, Property Requirements, Property N

Probing or searching for residential property, commercial properties in India?

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We are focus on considered business intensification during web based management techniques which in turn include to an improved society. We have to objective of helping people through modern resourceful technologies. Observably we help you to make the right choice to buy or sell or rent or lease property / properties, across India. Raghuvanshi property provides very best property free listings for buyers, sellers, builders, agents, and brokers, along with search facility of Indian real estates. We also make available a property and properties requirements, for redistribution in major cities of India. If you want or need to buy sell or rent property or properties in India, side through the best superiority resource on Raghuvanshi Property – most important Top Real Estate Property Portal Sites.

 

Now real estate deals and treasury are in increase method all over the world. Don’t delay putting your property necessities at raghuvanshi property. Raghuvanshi property is the most important real estate business website in India for buying, selling, and renting, commercial, residential properties in India. Choose your vision property or properties in India for reasonably priced, at raghuvanshi property. Fundamental part of our entrance: Raghuvanshi property is a web entrance with intent to provide as the perfect coincidence of interests – that of the buyer and that of the seller of any type of property.Raghuvanshi property makes obtainable thoroughly information on buying, selling and renting assets. During our web entrance, one can access, use and evaluate information on property trends, values, identify buyers and sellers. Our user-friendly design provides the personality with information about property accessibility and property needs to region wise, price wise, and so on. Raghuvanshi property portal has been designed in an exceptionally user-friendly performance and each an every window of our entrance is rich with information and database. In the middle of the property in India witnessing a explosion, the online property market embrace size-able opportunities. This is the probable that we are now intention by means of www.raghuvanshiproperty.com. We hope to build up this portal into one of the chief sites planned for buying, selling or leasing any type of property in India, as long as incorporated display place. We have used our wide reach to keep the site shoulder to shoulder of the needs of its users.This feature rich portal offers its users an extensive search section that allows the users to suggestion property by region, area, price, services and relieve of use. Several properties list facility also enables sellers to feature more than just one property. Thus once you are on the road to put somewhere else, get bigger or invest www. raghuvanshiproperty.com is able to offer the acquaintance and information needed to make informed, booming real estate decisions.

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Crabtree Property Management 10 ? 6 Seddons Solicitors

Posted on 17th October 2010 in Investment

Crabtree Property Management 10 ? 6 Seddons Solicitors

After a late kick off it was Seddons who came out guns blazing. A couple of stray passes from the home side allowed the Seddons to penetrate the backline, with Mark Standing hammering home the second of two early goals for the visitors. Crabtree stuck at it however and began to step up their game accordingly.

In the period that followed Joe Mallon pulled back a goal for Crabtree after some good interplay from John Osborn and George Georgiou led to a scrappy goal-mouth scramble with Mallon nutmegging the oncoming keeper. Substitute Bobby Shah levelled for the home side soon afterwards with an audacious lunge in the penalty area. More goals from Nadeem Ghous-Chaudary and Joe Mallon followed before Seddons pulled it back to 4-3.

The game was won at this stage with Luke Cunningham and Andy Soteriou suring up the Crabtree defence and picking out passes for playmaker George Georgiou and warrior John Osborn to feed attack after attack. Cunningham continued to organise the defensive ranks throughout the tie with iron grit. Throughout the game Goalkeeper Rob Robertson had complete command of his penalty area, bravely going to ground on a number of occasions and pulling off a string of impressive saves.

Mike Babb was on form for Crabtree Property, scoring a hat-trick overall, the pick of the bunch coming in the latter stages of the first half. More excellent interplay from Cunningham and Georgiou allowed Babb to finish with a trademark top corner emphatic finish from just outside the box. Crabtree finished the first half in form and in control of the game, leading by seven goals to three.

In the second half Seddons tightened up their defences and made things more difficult for the home side. Mark Standing was a handful and broke the backline to score twice more while Daniel Robins worked tirelessly for the visitors.

It was to be Crabtree’s night however with Nadeem (The Flaming Goose) Ghous-Chaudary completing his hat-trick and Bobby Shah finding the net again for a double. A late consolation for the visitors was testament to their fighting spirit and all ended on positive note with good sportsmanship all round.

Crabtree Team: Rob Robertson, Andy Soteriou, George Georgiou, Luke Cunningham, Bobby Shah, Mike Babb, Nadeem Ghous-Chaudary, Joe Mallon, John Osborn

Man of The Match: Luke Cunningham

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Leeds Property Management Inc

Posted on 11th October 2010 in Investment

Leeds Property Management Inc

About Ben Leeds Property
In 1970 a team from Strathclyde University demonstrated that the old tenements had been basically sound, and could be given new life with replumbing with kitchens and bathroom. The Corporation acted on this principle for the first time in 1973 at the Old Swan Corner, Pollokshaws. Thereafter, Housing Action Areas were set up to renovate so-called slums.

History
The English word house is derived from the proto-Germanic hud-dos, thought possibly to be a derivative of the verbal root hûd ‘to hide’ (see OED, s.v. house). Terms in other languages show varying derivations.
The oldest house in the world is approximately from 10,000 BC and was made of mammoth bones, found at Mezhirich near Kiev in Ukraine. It was probably covered with mammoth hides. The house was discovered in 1965 by a farmer digging a new basement six feet below the ground.

Ben Leeds Property Info :P ost Second World War, more ambitious plans, known as the Bruce Plan, were made for the complete evacuation of slums to modern mid-rise housing developments on the outskirts of the city. However, central government refused to fund the plans, preferring instead to depopulate the city to a series of New Towns Again, economic considerations meant that many of the planned “New Town” amenities were never built in these areas.

Ben Leeds Property
Services and facilities
Essentially the apartment hotel combines the flexibility of apartment living with the service of a hotel. Many of the apartments take advantage of prime locations with panoramic views of cities seen through wall to ceiling windows. Suites usually include high quality finishes, broadband connection & interactive TV, servicing and integrated kitchen and bathroom. High quality leather sofas in the living area and king size beds bring the hotel experience to a whole new level. Those are the luxuries, they also come with the basics: satellite or cable TV, washer, dryer, dishwasher, cooker, oven, fridge, freezer, sink, shower, bath, wardrobes, all the furnishings to be expected in a luxury home. Self contained apartments usually provide kitchen facilities that travel residents are able to cook foods at their convenience

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Property registration made cheaper

Posted on 9th October 2010 in Investment

Property registration made cheaper

Bangalore: Here is a boost to the person and the real estate sector. After the reduction of stamp duty on documents of ownership of 7.5% to 6%, the government will reduce the surcharge and access, leading to the registration tax in the state.
Starting from June, Buyers in urban areas – BBMP, city and urban society, local organizations – will pay 7.72% of the value of the property of the record – while rural areas – taluk panchayats, village panchayats , agriculture lands – paying 7.78% of the reduction of stamp duty, the surcharge and the access infrastructure will also be decreased.
“A certain percentage of the stamp duty is charged to the surcharge and infrastructure access. These have been reduced in line with the reduction of stamp duty. The notification will be issued in the coming days and the revised version of the levy will come into force from June The notification will also include the new fixed rate of Rs 1,000 as stamp duty and Rs 500 for registration of documents saved as a gift act,’Inspector General of stamps and registration department KR Niranjan said. The benefits to you
Existing levy for a property valued at Rs 10 lakh is Rs 94.000 for urban areas and Rs 94,750 for rural areas in June, for the same property, stamp duty will be Rs 60,000. Access infrastructure will be Rs 6000. Surcharge will be Rs 1200 for urban areas and Rs 1800 for rural areas.
Registration fees will be more than Rs 10,000. Total registration levy will be Rs 77.200 for urban and rural Rs 77.800 for parents is part of the gift
Bangalore: The government, which amended the Karnataka Stamp Act 1957, provided benefits to the parents’by bringing them under the “famille’définition in the law, which has already husband, wife, son , daughter, daughter – in-law, brothers, sisters and grandchildren.
Gifts note transaction between them to attract just Rs 1,000 as stamp duty, whatever the value of the property and a flat fee of Rs 500. Also change the order of the Karnataka Stamp Act and reduce stamp duty from 7.5% to 6% for the registration of the first sale of apartments will have the governor sign any time. It will be notified with prospective effect.
REVISED LEVY: A certain percentage of the stamp duty is charged to access infrastructure and the surcharge. They descend from June
The revised registration fee components: the stamp duty of 6% the access infrastructure, which is 10% stamp duty (for urban and rural) the supplement of 3% in stamp duty in rural areas, 2% in urban areas l Fees 1% of the market value of property

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Global House Price Downturn Accelerated At End Of 2008 According To The Global Property Guide

Posted on 7th October 2010 in Investment

Global House Price Downturn Accelerated At End Of 2008 According To The Global Property Guide

It has been a dismal year for house prices, according to the Global Property Guide’s latest survey of publicly-available house-price time-series for the year 2008. And seen from a global perspective, the downturn is still accelerating.

The collapse of the world’s housing markets can be seen from three points of view, and unfortunately, all of them reinforce the bad news.

During 2008, the downward price momentum accelerated, as compared to 2007.
Only 2 countries saw positive momentum in 2008 (a slower downward house price movement than last year, or faster upward movement), while 28 countries saw their housing market momentum deteriorating, compared to the previous year. The two countries with a positive momentum were Germany and Switzerland.

During 2008, house prices fell in most countries.

During 2008 only 8 out of 32 countries saw house prices rise, after adjustment for inflation, while 20 countries experienced house price falls.

In contrast, during the year 2007, the downturn was just beginning, and only 6 countries saw house prices fall, while 24 countries saw house prices rise (all figures inflation-adjusted).

Many house-price falls during 2008 were extremely severe. Countries with house price falls of over 10% during 2008 were Latvia (Riga) (37%), Lithuania (Vilnius) (27%), the US (20%), the UK (18%), Iceland (16%), Ireland (12%), and the Ukraine (Kiev) (12%) (all figures inflation-adjusted).

During the final quarter (Q4) of 2008, the downward price momentum significantly accelerated, as compared to Q3, suggesting that the situation is deteriorating.

During 2008’s final quarter, 9 countries saw house price falls of 5% or more during just that quarter. Price drops of more than 10% during this single quarter occurred in three countries – in Latvia (Riga), which saw price falls of 15%, in Ukraine (Kiev) (13%), and in Hong Kong (15%). Other countries with Q4 house-price falls of 5% and over, included the UAE (8%), Lithuania (7%), Iceland (7%), Singapore (6%), Bulgaria (5%), and the UK (5%) (all figures inflation-adjusted, except UAE).

These price falls were much greater than during the previous quarter, Q3. During that previous quarter, only two countries experienced house-price falls (inflation-adjusted) of 5% or more, and no countries experienced house-price falls of more than 10%.

REGIONAL SURVEY BY GLOBAL PROPERTY GUIDE

Europe has major problems
The Baltic countries of Latvia and Lithuania suffered the hardest price falls both in nominal and real terms. In Riga, Latvia, the average price of standard-type apartments plunged 37% during 2008. Prices have been going down in Latvia since late 2007, after a remarkable increase of about 70% in 2006. The most alarming decline took place in the 4th quarter, when prices declined by 15%, the steepest quarterly drop in real terms in any country. These price falls were triggered by increased interest rates, and by the tightened credit rules which Latvia imposed in 2007.

Average prices of apartments in Vilnius, Lithuania, fell by 27% during 2008. House prices started slowing in mid-2007, and crashed in early 2008.

House prices in the UK plummeted by 18% in 2008. Although mortgage interest rates dropped slightly, to 4.48% in December 2008, the number of loan approvals for house purchases fell 58% in 2008.

There is serious trouble in Iceland (house price fall of 16% during 2008), Ireland (12%), Ukraine (12%), Malta (9%), Portugal (8%), France (8%) Finland (7%), Norway (6%) and in Spain (6%).

North America’s woes
In the US, the centre of the global financial crisis, in 2008 house prices fell 20% according to the Case-Shiller house price index, which emphasizes urban areas. OFHEO and FHFB figures, which are associated with Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac loans and have somewhat lost credibility, suggest a smaller decline of 6% and 3% respectively, during 2008. The US government recently approved a $ 787 billion economic stimulus package, of which 5 billion will be allocated to rescue the ailing housing market.

Canada has been much less affected than the US.

Pacific heads down
Both Australia and New Zealand saw house price declines during 2008, of 7% and 8% respectively.

Asia no longer insulated
Housing markets in Asia have not been insulated. Singapore, Hong Kong and Philippines recorded house price falls during 2008.

Singapore’s private residential prices dropped 9% during 2008, in sharp contrast to the 26% price increase of experienced during 2007. The developed countries’ economic troubles adversely affected Singapore’s exports, and during 2008, output in the manufacturing sector, particularly of electronics, precision engineering and chemicals, shrank by 10.7%. Singapore was officially in recession in Q3 2008.

Hong Kong has been badly hit by the crisis. House prices were down by an average of 6% in 2008. But during the last quarter, Hong Kong experienced a severe decline in prices of 14%.

In Makati, Philippines, prime 3-bedroom condominium prices fell by 2% during 2008, after an 11% price rise during 2007. Nevertheless construction of high-rise residential buildings continues, with residential condominium stock rising by 7% during 2008, according to Colliers Philippines.

Japan recorded modest Tokyo condominium price rises of 1.2% during 2008. On the other hand, land prices in Japan’s six major cities fell by 6% y-o-y to Sep-2008.

In Shanghai, China, house price rises slowed to 5% y-o-y by the end of 2008, after peaking at 30% y-o-y to May 2008. However Shanghai is likely to be somewhat exceptional, and Xinhua News Agency reported house prices declines in 70 major cities during 2008. Shenzhen suffered the hardest fall, with prices down by 18% during 2008

UAE on shaky ground
In Dubai, UAE, despite the bleak global picture, saw surprisingly large dwelling price rises of 41% during 2008. However during the year’s final quarter, prices fell by 8% in nominal terms. This downturn is attributable to strongly tightening lending criteria, an increase in interest rates, multiple layoffs, and alarm among buyers.

Forecast: No recovery in 2009
History suggests that in a crash, housing markets take many years from peak year to full recovery. In view of this and of the pessimistic IMF forecast for the global economy, no real recovery is likely in the global housing markets this year.

The IMF has predicted that the world economy will grow by 0.5% in 2009, the lowest level in 60 years. GDP in advanced economies is expected to decline by 2% during 2009. The United Kingdom and Japan will be hit the hardest. Output in the UK may contract by 2.8%, while Japan’s may fall by 2.6%.

Growth in emerging economies is expected to slow to 3.3% in 2009, down from 6.3% in 2008. Developing Asia is forecast to be the least affected, with growth of 5.5%. China’s economy is predicted grow by 6.7% in 2009, but this is a substantial decline from 9% growth during 2008.

We cannot be optimistic for five reasons:
• Valuations still clearly remain stretched in most countries, in terms of price/rent ratios.
• Economic growth is slowing or negative in many countries, which is negative for housing values.
• There are no signs that banks are becoming more willing to lend.
• The unprecedented nature of the financial system’s collapse has greatly added to the difficulties facing the world’s housing markets.
• Some national governments are experiencing difficulty in refinancing their national debt, putting their currencies under pressure. Currency instability is likely to aggravate housing sector problems in countries where many loans were taken out in a foreign currency.

The positive news is that the US government and several others are acting with vigour, as has the IMF. Nevertheless, there is a long tough road ahead.

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